Posted on 19 July 2010.
The latest crime figures have revealed that crime is down massively, down 50 per cent overall since 1995 in one statistic – with the UK exhibiting the lowest rates of criminal activity since the early 1980s.
However, in what can be seen as the latest round of positive news, many people are also asking how accurate the figures are and do they concur with people’s day to day perceptions of crime?
The latest annual Crime in England and Wales statistics show that most crimes, including thefts, burglaries and fraud cases are all on a downward trend.
The main findings of the National Crime Statistics incorporating the British Crime Survey, has revealed that the number of overall criminal offences has fallen from 10.5 million to 9.6 million, the first time the main crime figure has dropped below 10 million since records began.
The most striking new finding within the report is that both the 2009/10 British Crime Survey figures and police recorded crime are consistent in showing falls in overall crime compared with 2008/09.
Overall crime decreased by nine per cent – from 10.5 million crimes to 9.6 million crimes – and police recorded crime by eight per cent: from 4.7 million to 4.3 million crimes.
For some the results can be seen as surprising given there were expectations that crime, particularly property related crime, would rise in the recession. However, neither major data source shows an increase in levels of property crime.
Even the Home Secretary is keen to put the figures in perspective.
Home Secretary Theresa May said: “Any reductions in crime are welcome, but we know these statistics offer a partial picture about the true level of crime. And there are many offences, including anti-social behaviour, which are not always reported or fully recorded, but which ruin too many lives.
“No society should accept a situation where at least 26,000 people a day fall victim to crime.“
The new coalition Government is planning to improve the official crime data to include regular local crime updates.
“What matters to people is the crime that happens in their local communities and what is being done about it. This is why we want the public to know what is really going on in their area and will publish monthly crime information about what is happening on their streets by January next year, says Theresa May.
“We are determined to restore trust in crime statistics and are currently considering how they should be collected and published in future. We are working with the UK Statistics Authority and others to consider this carefully.”
The Crime in England and Wales 2009/10 report includes results from the British Crime Survey and crimes recorded by the police for the 12 months up to April 2010.
While estimates for crime from the British Crime Survey go back to 1981, the Home Office have figures on crimes recorded by the police going back more than 100 years.
Both major crime sources are consistent in showing marked falls in vehicle crime. British Crime Survey vehicle related theft is down 17 per cent and police recorded vehicle crime down by 16 per cent, compared with the previous year.
In addition, while the nine per cent fall in domestic burglary from the British Crime Survey was not statistically significant it is in line with the six per cent reduction recorded by the police.
This is also the first time in recent years in which the UK Cards Association have reported a reduction in levels of credit card fraud with a two per cent reduction in the number of fraudulent transactions: down to 2.7 million in 2009 compared with the 2.8 million recorded in 2008; and a 16 per cent fall in UK fraud losses.
Overall British Crime Survey crime is down by 50 per cent since 1995.
However, while the figures are being welcomed more awareness about the way crime statistics are generated is toning down the celebrations.
Even authors of the report identify a problem in interpreting police figures over the long-term. Because of limited knowledge of how public reporting and police recording practices have changed – the figures have to be understood in the context of how they are produced.
For example, over the 20th Century police recorded crime figures increased more than 70 fold which is not felt to be an accurate reflection of changes in levels of offending; and repeated changes in public reporting, police recording and coverage of new offences; as well as increases in population size.
Further depoliticisation of crime figures will be welcomed as well as openness about how the statistics are put together.
Share on Facebook